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DCSBRESFR's avatar

I think you're spot on Michael. Regarding Alonso, I think that the Mets were very fair with their offer 2 years ago. Losing Pete this year, and with the injuries to both Lindor and Soto exposed the lack of power especially considering the lack of production from Semien and Polanco. Between those 2, the Mets are on the hook for $43 million for next season and $23 the following season for Semien. Perhaps a pay down or even an outright cut.

Jefferson Rojas has to play somewhere next year - At least they should move him to Syracuse for the rest of the season. He's clearly the guy for 2B, and 3B if Bichette opts out. I'm guessing that he'll be a 20hr, 70 rbi, .275 type guys in the majors.

They have to see what they have in both Morabito (as a 4th OF) and if Billy Amick can play at the Major League level.

Regarding the relievers, Nate Lavender is a find, but remember he's always had this level of talent but had been injured the past 2-3 years. Nunez, Duarte and Pintaro all show signs of value as does Tobias Myers (he was the guy that was originally traded by the Rays to Cleveland for Junior Caminero, when he as 18, in a 1 for 1 deal). Senga also should stay around.

I do think that they'll likely have to find space for a combination of Jefferson Rojas, Emilien Pitre and Mitch Voit (who reeks of potential stardom).

Now, let's go and get Skubal.

Larry Kahan's avatar

I disagree with you on a couple of points. First, I do think Bo Bichette is going to opt out. In his statement, he indicated he'd be willing to take less money to sign a long term deal. Reading between the lines, that screams to me he wants out of NY in the worst way. He's just not happy here. Even after yesterday's heroics, he didn't seem particularly excited. Even with 2 years and $84M left on his 3-year deal, he'd rather take less to play elsewhere.

That leads me to point number two, Brett Baty. He'll be back, if for no other reason than insurance against the uncertainty around Bichette. Baty's main issue has always been consistency. It was no coincidence that the best stretch in his career came when he was the everyday third baseman in the second half of last season. Add in his versatility in the field and that he's a left handed batter bodes well for him returning to Flushing.

Point number three, Marcus Semien. Yesterday's game was a microcosm of his season; late on his swings and two steps slow in the field. I commented on one of the Facebook Fan pages that it was the kind of day that might make him rethink if he wants to return next season. Of course, with 2 years/$52M left on his contract, most think it's a no-brainer that he'll be back. But, most professional athletes, especially those who were among the best in the game for a period of time, are very prideful and protective of their legacies. It's hard for them to accept they can no longer compete at that level. That's where Semien is at now. Oh, sure, he can come back and be a platoon or a bench player and collect his salary, but will he be able to accept that? I'm not so sure. After a game like yesterday, he may just wake up and say "I'm done".

Point four: The first base situation. Unless they sign Sato from Japan, I really don't see anyone on the free agent market that would be a significant improvement over a platoon of Jared Young and either Mark Vientos or even Billy Amick. Vientos is 50/50 to return. His biggest problem is his complete lack of humility. He really believes he's a lot better than he is, which makes him uncoachable. From everything I've read about Amick, he sounds like he's where Pete Alonso was at that point in his career; a three true outcome hitter with poor defense. And despite his production this season and probably next, it's way too early to say not bringing Alonso back was a mistake. I think by year 3 of the contract, Alonso will begin to decline and Stearns will be vindicated.

Fifth point, Tarik Skubal. I don't see it happening. It's just not how Stearns operates. I think a reunion with Clay Holmes is more likely, depending on his ask. Remember, he'll be going into his age 34 season.

Final point is one you didn't mention. Who will be the Mets Manager in 2027? Who will be on the Coaching Staff? I'm all in on Alex Cora. Beltran, who has never managed at any level, can be his Bench Coach and learn how it's done.

Thoughts?

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